Ethereum Outperforms Bitcoin Amid ETF Inflows, but Tariff Shock Tempers Rally

Key Takeaways:

*ETH/BTC has rebounded from its recent bottom, suggesting that ETH is reviving in strength. 

*ETH ETFs have recorded weeks long of net inflow, and the traditional financial market fund supports ETH.

Market Summary:

Ethereum has demonstrated notable strength in recent sessions, rallying to its highest level since March before being tempered by President Trump’s unexpected tariff threats. The ETH/BTC pairing has surged over 35% from its May lows, now approaching a critical resistance level at 0.0258. A decisive break above this threshold could signal Ethereum is beginning to close its valuation gap with Bitcoin.

The bullish momentum has been supported by sustained institutional interest, with ETH ETFs recording net inflows for more than two consecutive weeks. This institutional backing has helped propel ETH nearly 10% higher this week alone. However, the broader market sentiment has turned cautious following Trump’s trade policy announcement, creating potential headwinds.

Looking ahead, Ethereum’s price action faces dual challenges: shifting risk appetite in traditional markets and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy trajectory. While ETH’s strong technicals and fund flows suggest underlying strength, these macro factors could test its resilience in the near term.

Technical Analysis:

ETH, H4 

Ethereum surged to a new monthly peak of $2,879.27 before encountering a modest technical retracement in recent trading. The cryptocurrency has managed to hold above the psychologically important $2,728 level, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement mark – a critical support zone that continues to suggest the overall bullish trend remains intact.

The current price action presents a mixed technical picture. While Ethereum’s ability to maintain these elevated levels demonstrates underlying strength, momentum indicators are beginning to show signs of exhaustion. The Relative Strength Index has retreated from overbought territory, signaling waning buying pressure, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator appears to be developing a bearish crossover pattern that could point to further near-term consolidation.

The $2,702 level now emerges as crucial support – representing Ethereum’s previous high that could serve as a springboard for continued upward movement if maintained. A sustained hold above this threshold would reinforce the bullish market structure despite the current pullback. Market participants are closely monitoring these technical developments, particularly as Ethereum continues to demonstrate relative strength compared to broader cryptocurrency market movements and traditional financial market volatility. The coming sessions will prove important in determining whether this retracement represents a healthy consolidation within an ongoing uptrend or the beginning of a more significant corrective phase.

Resistance levels: 3020.00, 3460.00

Support levels: 2426.00, 2065.00